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Browsing Documents Related to 'Population Projections'

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Date Title Type
Document 030198
Forecasting Future Inmate Population
By Bower, Meg.
"Correctional facilities are mission driven. Data is relatively low priority, yet it is often data, and what it reveals, that forms the basis of correctional needs assessments. Projected Daily Population (ADP), in particular, is the foundation of every needs assessment" (p. 39). This article concisely explains how to use ADP to forecast population for your agency or facility. Sections of this article cover: straight line forecasting of ADP; the inevitability of change in admissions (ADM) and ave... Read More

2 pages
Document 028293
Adult and Juvenile Correctional Population Projections: Fiscal Years 2014 to 2019
Texas Legislative Budget Board (Austin, TX).
This is a great example of a report that informs the state legislature about population growth in both the adult and juvenile system. "Correctional population projections are produced to serve as a basis for biennial funding determinations … Both adult incarceration and juvenile state residential facility populations are expected to remain at or below [current] capacity" (p. 1). Sections following an executive summary include: Adult Arrests and Arrest Rates; Adult Correctional Population Project... Read More
33 pages
Document 026976
Adult and Juvenile Correctional Population Projections: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2018
Texas Legislative Budget Board (Austin, TX).
Projections for the changes in Texas’ adult and juvenile correctional populations are presented. Sections contained in this report are: introduction and report highlights; arrest rates in Texas; adult correctional population projections; juvenile correctional population projections; qualitative review summary; and glossary. Appendixes explain what the methodology and assumptions for each correctional population projection.... Read More
49 pages
Document 020751
Project Guide: Population Profiles, Population Projections and Bed Needs Projections
National Institute of Corrections. Native American and Alaskan Technical Assistance Project (NAATAP) (Washington, DC); U.S. Bureau of Justice Assistance (Washington, DC). Justice Planners International (JPI) (Demarest, NJ).
Three parts of a Needs Assessment, which "is conducted to determine, verify, and/or quantify the need for greater capacity, a different type of facility, a new facility or expansion and renovation of an existing facility," are explained (p. 2). Sections contained in this guide are: overview; population profiles; population projections; and bed needs projections.... Read More
14 p.
Document 018966
Proceedings of the Large Jail Network Meeting, July 2003
National Institute of Corrections. Jails Division (Longmont, CO).
These proceedings are comprised of: Highlights of the Meeting Sessions; Stay Awake or You Will Trip Over the Future by Tom Esensten; Video Presentation: Beyond the Myths: Jails in Your Community introduced by Virginia Hutchinson; Defining the Future and Exploring Organizational Strategies by Esensten: Future Trends and Their Impact on Jail Management by Marilyn Chandler Ford; Jail Population Growth: Sources of Growth and Stability by Allen Beck; Jail Standards and Accreditation: Are There Still ... Read More
55 p.
Document 016720
Preventing Jail Crowding: A Practical Guide
By Cushman, Robert C.. National Institute of Corrections (Washington, DC).
An explanation on how to use the jail population analysis formula is offered. This paper looks at: the sources of jail crowding; the dynamics that create changes in jail occupancy levels; swings in jail occupancy levels; a jail population analysis system; reducing the inmate population in a crowded jail; policy choices; and the key to preventing crowding. ... Read More
12 p.
Document 011775
Colorado Department of Corrections Parole Population Projections
By McVey, Aaron David; Jones, Michael. National Institute of Corrections (Washington, DC). National Council on Crime and Delinquency (San Francisco, CA).
This report presents projections for the Colorado parole population through the year 2004 using a planning simulation and projection model developed by the National Council on Crime and Delinquency. These parole projections are divided into parole caseload subgroups based on gender, felony class and parole legislation type. This report contains: a summary of parole legislation; a summary of admission, release and caseload trends; a summary of the forecast method; and projected parole caselo... Read More
53 p.
Document 011380
Connecticut Department of Corrections Offender Population Projections
By Jones, Michael A.; McVey, Aaron D.; Richer, Frederick G.. National Institute of Corrections (Washington, DC). National Council on Crime and Delinquency (San Francisco, CA).
This report presents the results of projections of the sentenced prison and community populations under the supervision of the Connecticut Department of Corrections through the year 2001. The projections, produced through simulation software, break the data into ten distinct offender groups, and six sentence levels within each group. Additionally, the model provides separate projections for female and male inmates.... Read More
33 p.
Document 010539
Using Policy Simulation Analysis to Guide Correctional Reform: The Utah Experience
By Austin, James; Joe, Karen; Litsky, Paul. National Institute of Corrections (Washington, DC); Edna McConnell Clark Foundation (New York, NY). National Council on Crime and Delinquency (San Francisco, CA).
By analyzing current sentencing practices and dispositional guidelines for probation, prison, and parole caseloads and comparing these current practices with other well established correctional screening tools through statistical simulation analysis, this study intends to provide legislators with estimates of the impact of proposed policy modifications on sentencing, classification, and correctional population size.... Read More
54 p.
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